Intrade

Volume at Intrade is too low to matter, last night a couple trades drove it to to 31.

Matthew Yglesias » Kinsley’s Transcendental Deduction of Hyperinflation 2010

Intrade is a “predic­tion market­place”, which is asort of alter­nate stock exchange attempting to leverage the ability of markets to ratio­nalize infor­ma­tion held by distrib­uted indi­vid­uals.

hughstimson.org » Blog Archive » The Market Wisdom Was Wrong on U.S. Healthcare? 2010

Intrade is somewhat thinly traded in dollar terms, making this sort of manipulation possible.

Discourse.net: Intrade Market Manipulation? 2008

(FWIW, I love Taleb’s book precisely because what has enabled my crazy returns on Intrade is all about me understanding the concept of black swan events and the mispricing of risk at the far ends of the tail.

Matthew Yglesias » The New Gurus 2009

These join the ranks of established political markets such as Intrade, founded in 1999, and the venerable Iowa Electronic Markets, launched in 1988.

Prediction Markets Are Hot, But Here's Why They Can Be So Wrong John McQuaid 2008

More can be wagered through private operations such as Intrade, based in Dublin, but these services operate with a low profile and modest volumes.

Trading on the Wisdom of Crowds 2008

Suffice it to say that I'll be adjusting my "Intrade" odds this Friday / Saturday.

SocraticGadfly 2008

You could've gotten better odds (36: 1) at Intrade.

I Bet An Austrian, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty 2009

Think of the Intrade-Block price difference as a premium since it makes for a better blog post than "I made a $35 bet on Intrade."

I Bet An Austrian, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty 2009

From Las Vegas, Jon Ralston reports that casino squillionaire Sheldon Adelson's family is stumping up another $5m for the Gingrich campaign:Time to sell all those Intrade contracts on Mitt Romney eh?

Florida primary campaign – live 2012