T-bond

How about a comparision between the 30 year * real* T-bond rate (which floats in the market) and projected deficits?

Kotlikoff on Social Security, Arnold Kling | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty 2009

My guess is that SSA uses a moving average of 30 year T-bond yields as the risk free rate, with the resulting average being higher now than what we would expect to see in the future.

The Budget Debate, VI, Arnold Kling | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty 2009

Only the massive purchases of Treasury debt by the Federal Reserve has prevented T-bond buyers from demanding higher rates—for now.

Who's Right: Blinder or Druckenmiller on Debt Limit? 2011

How else to explain the cratering of T-bond yields while gold keeps climbing?

Krugman: hey, big spender 2010

So I get to borrow long at one point over a 40-year nominal low T-bond rate, and about a 1.5% real rate, and invest long in market investments.

Economic Debate, Arnold Kling | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty 2009

Stipulate that they must pay it back with T-bond interest plus expenses for uncollectibles & administration but they can keep anything they make above it.

Economic Debate, Arnold Kling | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty 2009

Investors are clearly betting they will prove so again: T-bond yields have tumbled as the credit crunch and events in Pakistan have spooked the markets.

Hedge funds' evolution likely to continue apace 2008

The decline in risk aversion that comes with a maturing economic expansion and the pressure of rising short-term interest rates will weigh heavily on bond prices, enough we think to move 10-year T-bond yields up almost 100 basis points from their current position.

2005 Investment Outlook 2005

The 10-year T-bond is the new benchmark, and has been.

Happy Halloween: Don't say "Boo" for 30 yr Treasuries 2007

The 10-year T-bond is the new benchmark, and has been.

Archive 2007-06-01 2007